Fall 2018 Snapshot Of Expected Future S&P 500 Earnings

Fall 2018 Snapshot Of Expected Future S&P 500 Earnings

Every three months, we take a snapshot of the expectations for future earnings in the S&P 500 at approximately the midpoint of the current quarter, shortly after most U.S. firms have announced their previous quarter’s earnings. The earnings outlook for the S&P 500 has darkened since our previous edition, where as of the snapshot available as […]
Small Stock Investors Panic At The Lows

Small Stock Investors Panic At The Lows

The American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) measure of small stock owner sentiment has just reached the most pessimistic levels in 33 months at the closing lows of this market correction to date. The last time the average investor was this Bearish occurred in early 2016 at the end of the global energy recession. An excellent time to Buy […]
Gold Slips As Dollar Gains, Stocks Rebound

Gold Slips As Dollar Gains, Stocks Rebound

Gold prices ended Monday’s session down $1.27 an ounce, pressured by a stronger dollar and keener risk appetite in the world marketplace. Global stock markets were mostly higher yesterday. U.S. stocks started the week on a positive note as all three major indices ended the day in positive territory. U.S. economic data due for release […]
What To Do Now That Bitcoin And Ripple Are Crashing?

What To Do Now That Bitcoin And Ripple Are Crashing?

Today I’m going to address a question I’ve been getting asked a lot recently: What to do now that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are crashing? Do you keep on BTFDing? And that, of course, is the crypto-geek phrase for Buying the Freaking Dip. Do you stay away and HODL? Or you take losses and get […]
Sensex Trades Flat; Infosys & Reliance Top Gainers

Sensex Trades Flat; Infosys & Reliance Top Gainers

Share markets in India are presently trading on a flat note. Sectoral indices are trading mixed with stocks in the realty sector and IT sector witnessing maximum buying interest while and healthcare stocks are witnessing selling pressure. The BSE Sensex is trading down by 24 points (down 0.1%), while the NSE Nifty is trading down by 7 points (down 0.1%). The BSE Mid Cap index is trading up 0.1%, […]
The Yield Curve Will Invert Soon. What’s Next For The Stock Market

The Yield Curve Will Invert Soon. What’s Next For The Stock Market

December is almost here, and some traders are looking forward to the Santa Claus Rally. We demonstrated that seasonality is not consistent. Hence, seasonality factors are of secondary importance. Let’s determine the stock market’s most probable direction by objectively quantifying technical analysis. For reference, here’s the random probability of the U.S. stock market going up on any given […]
A History Of First Cuts

A History Of First Cuts

The market is definitely torn about whether last week the Federal Reserve signaled a pause in their rate-tightening campaign. You know where I stand (they did), so there is little to be gained by my shouting into the wind trying to convince anyone. Yet one of my more astute readers sent a note to be […]
GBP/USD Outlook Remains Lower With Eyes On 1.2690 Zone

GBP/USD Outlook Remains Lower With Eyes On 1.2690 Zone

GBP/USD outlook remains lower with eyes on 1.2690 zone. The pair retains its broader downtrend supporting its present directional move. Support comes in at 1.2750 level. Further down, support stands at the 1.2690 level where a breach will turn focus to the 1.2650 level. Further down, support is seen at the 1.2600 level. Below here […]
Another Non-Recessionary Data Point

Another Non-Recessionary Data Point

People can’t seem to grasp the fact the stock market does not predict recessions.  Hard economic data points do and right now, none are pointing to a recession. The best quote on this is, “the stock market has predicted 11 of the last 2 recessions”. We’ve had 11 10% drops in the S&P 500 since […]
2019 Economic Setup Looks Unfavorable

2019 Economic Setup Looks Unfavorable

We have reviewed the impact demographics could have on the housing market and how millennials are delaying homeownership in many different articles. Even though bullish investors are hoping for a big spike in demand for housing, millennials aren’t delivering on their potential yet. The most popular age in America is 27. As you can see […]