‘Best’ Macro Week In 4 Months Is Bad News For Most; But Nasdaq And Ethereum Surged

Image source: PixabayAfter six straight weeks of ‘weakness,’ US Macro Surprise data surged higher this week (which is ‘good news’) – it’s biggest positive weekly shift since January.Source: BloombergAnd that ‘good news’ sent rate-cut expectations tumbling (hawkishly) lower.Source: BloombergThe Nasdaq dramatically outperformed on the week, while the S&P 500 managed to rally today to get green for the week (both up for five straight weeks). Small-caps and the Dow were both down notably on the week. Hawkish Fed Minutes spooked stocks mid-week, but Nvidia’s (NVDA) earnings saved the tech-heavy indices.After four straight weeks of gains, the Dow suffered its worst week since March 2023. The Russell 2000 also saw its first weekly loss in the last five. This was the Nasdaq’s best week relative to the Russell 2000 since November 2023.Source: BloombergThis pulled the Nasdaq/Russell pair up to critical resistance.Source: BloombergDefensives have been leading in May so far. And while both fell this week, Cyclicals underperformed.Source: BloombergThe basket of ‘Magnificent 7’ stocks rallied for the fifth straight week to a new record high (obviously helped generously by Nvidia).Source: BloombergNvidia seemingly refuses to dance to Cisco’s (CSCO) historical pattern and is headed to the moon.Source: BloombergInterestingly, ‘most shorted’ stocks suffered their worst week since November 2023.Source: BloombergTreasury yields were all higher on the week, but it was the short-end that notably lagged (the 2-year added +12bps, and the 30-year added +1bps).Source: BloombergThe 2-year yield rallied up toward the 5.00% danger-zone (its biggest weekly yield increase in six weeks).Source: BloombergThe yield curve (2s30s) flattened largely this week (it declined by -12bps, which is the biggest weekly flattening since February).Source: BloombergThe dollar continued to flip-flop, rallying this week after last week’s decline.Source: BloombergIt was gold’s worst week in eight months (since September 2023).Source: BloombergSilver was down on the week but outperformed gold, holding above $30.Source: BloombergBitcoin rallied for the second week in a row, rebounding today to $69,000.Source: BloombergEthereum dramatically outperformed Bitcoin with its best week since July 2021.Source: BloombergDespite a rebound today, oil prices ended lower on the week, with WTI clinging to $78.Source: BloombergFinally, US equity market capitalization remains drastically decoupled from bank reserves at the Fed – a relationship that had held and reverted for much of the last four years.Source: BloombergHave a great, long weekend.More By This Author:NVDA Tops $2.5 Trillion As Traders Sell Everything Else On ‘Good News’US Initial Jobless Claims Refuse To Budge From Near Record LowsThis Is What Hedge And Mutual Funds Did In Q1: Goldman’s HF And MF Monitors


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