The FOMC voted today to raise the federal funds corridor by another 25 bps. It was the third such change and the second over the past three months. Judging by the reactions to it, you would think this is 2004 again. It is not. It is instead perfectly consistent where on a day when the […]

This note has three parts: Short summary of our current market view and portfolio allocation implications Bullet point outline of details behind our thinking in 5 segments (Trend, Valuation, Sentiment, Breadth, Forecasts) Supporting graphics for most of the bullet points provided in 24 charts and tables. The short summary is of our market view and intended allocation actions for […]

Usually, a stock with a 17% yield has a lot of risk – especially its dividend. There’s a reason it yields 17% while its peers yield less than a third of that amount. Wall Street is telling you it expects the dividend to come way down… or that the company’s prospects are well below others […]

After December’s brief dead cat bounce, in which foreign central banks bought $18.6 billion in US Treasuries, breaking a streak of 12 consecutive months of selling, in January they resumed their liquidation. According to the just released TIC data, foreign official institutions, which includes mostly central banks, but also sovereign wealth funds and various other […]

Jabil Circuit, Inc. (NYSE:JBL) late Wednesday [Mar 15, 2017 | 4:01pm] posted market-beating fiscal second quarter earnings results, although its third quarter outlook could badly miss Wall Street’s expectations.