FTSE Breaks Losing Streak Despite BAT Losses, BT Continues To Gain


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Wednesday’s trading, the FTSE 100 in Britain ticked marginally higher by 0.6% as the increase in mining stocks balanced out the decrease in British American Tobacco (BAT) due to their announcement of a $31.5 billion impairment charge. The industrial metal mining sector saw a 2.2% increase as the prices of various base metals and iron ore went up. Additionally, precious metal miners experienced a 1.1% rise due to higher gold prices.Shares of British American Tobacco, the maker of Dunhill cigarettes, dropped by 6.4% to a four-and-a-half-year low of 2,329 pence, making it the top loser on London’s FTSE 100 index. The company announced that it will take an impairment charge of around 25 billion pounds ($31.50 billion) as it reassesses the value of some of its U.S. cigarette brands. It also expects low-single-digit revenue growth and adjusted profit from operations in 2024, with continued headwinds impacting its U.S. businesses. While non-combustible products may contribute to the bottom line in 2024, the long-term outlook for margins remains unclear. Negative attention surrounding Juul and underage vaping has slowed BAT’s business prospects in the U.S., according to Third Bridge analyst Orwa Mohamad. The company also expects group organic revenue at the lower end of its 3-5% forecast range, and its stock is down 24.2% year-to-date.On the positive side of the ledger J.P.Morgan maintains a positive outlook on European insurance in 2024, citing several factors such as peak yields, no threat from peak pricing, earnings growth, and low credit risk. The brokerage believes that peak yields will be beneficial, particularly for stocks with high capital returns, such as UK life and Benelux names. Historically, the insurance sector has performed well during periods of falling yields. The sector is expected to remain well-capitalised, offering a strong return on capital with a higher premium compared to risk-free yields. While commercial property and casualty pricing is approaching its peak, reinsurers are still benefiting from solid and expanding pricing. Additionally, personal line pricing is increasing. The sector’s earnings momentum appears attractive after the implementation of IFRS17, and the credit risk outlook is favourable for insurer investment grade portfolios. Prudential Plc benefited most from this report, sending the insurer to the top of the blue chip index gaining 3.9% on the session. BT Group continues to benefit from yesterday’s announcement of their tie up with TNT to acquire rights to broadcast Premiership Football adding another 4% to yesterdays gains
FTSE Bias: Bullish Above Bearish below 7400

  • Below 7350 opens 7210
  • Primary support at 7200
  • Primary objective 7600
  • 20 Day VWAP bullish, 5 Day VWAP bullish
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