Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.
| |
Forecast |
Prior |
|
| |
|
Observation |
|
| Week of April 29 |
|
|
|
| April 29 |
|
|
|
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey |
-11.3 |
-14.4 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| April 30 |
|
|
|
| Employment Cost Index – Q1 |
0.9% |
0.9 |
|
| Employment Cost Index – Y/Y |
3.9 |
4.2 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| S&P Case/Shiller Index – February |
|
|
|
| Twenty City M/M |
0.3% |
-0.1 |
|
| Twenty City M/M – SA |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
| Twenty City Y/Y |
6.7 |
6.6 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| FHFA Housing Price Index – February |
0.1% |
-0.1 |
|
| Chicago PMI – April |
47 |
41.4 |
|
| Consumer Confidence |
104.7 |
104.7 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| May 1 |
|
|
|
| ADP Employment Report – April |
210K |
184 |
|
| PMI Manufacturing Index – April |
49.9 |
49.9 |
|
| ISM (Mfg) – April |
49.5 |
50.3 |
|
| Construction Spending – March |
0.7% |
-0.3 |
|
| JOLTS -March |
8.700M |
8.756 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Auto Sales – April |
15.7K |
15.5 |
|
| Car Sales |
3.0 |
3.1 |
|
| Truck Sales |
12.7 |
12.5 |
|
| FMOC |
5.375% |
5.375 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| May 2 |
|
|
|
| Productivity – Q1 (p) |
1.8% |
3.2 |
|
| Unit Labor Costs |
2.0 |
0.4 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| International Trade in Goods – March |
-$66.8B |
-68.9 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Factory Orders – March |
1.6% |
1.4 |
|
| Durable Goods Orders |
2.5 |
1.3 |
|
| Nondurable Goods Orders |
0.6 |
1.4 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| May 3 |
|
|
|
| Nonfarm Payrolls – April |
250K |
303 |
|
| Private |
210 |
232 |
|
| Manufacturing |
12 |
0 |
|
| Unemployment |
3.80% |
3.8 |
|
| Average Workweek |
34.4HR |
34.4 |
|
| Average Hourly Earnings |
0.4% |
0.3 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| PMI Services Index |
50.9 |
50.9 |
|
| ISM Services – April |
52.0 |
51.4 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| Week of May 6 |
|
|
|
| May 7 |
|
|
|
| Consumer Credit – March |
15.5 |
14.1 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| May 10 |
|
|
|
| Treasury Budget – April |
$270.0B |
-236 |
More By This Author:Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of April 22 & 29
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Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of April 8 And April 15
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