China: Major Devaluation Coming
Jul 27, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
The whole “market economy” thing is turning out to be a little trickier than China’s dictators expected. To set up the story: After the 2008 crash the country borrowed about $15 trillion (an amount that dwarfs the US Fed’s quantitative easing programs) and spent the proceeds on history’s biggest infrastructure program. This pushed up […]
China’s Market & US Economy Not Correlated
Jul 27, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
“Davidson” submits: Bloomberg has a good article on recent volatility of Chinese markets which is a good read at this point in the global economic/investment cycle. China as part of the emerging market asset class (EEM) peaked in early 2011 and then had a recent spike which represented highly speculative anticipation by Chinese investors of’ […]
Commodities Beat-Down Continues
Jul 27, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
The recent commodities sell-off has been breathtaking. This is especially true since the most-recent downturn occurred from a level where the expected future returns from commodity index investment were reasonably good – and, as a spread above expected equity or bond returns, probably around the best levels ever. But investors have a strong tendency to […]
China’s Potent Directors Fail – The Crash Resumes
Jul 27, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
Another “Oops!” Moment in Shanghai Is there anything the Chinese authorities haven’t tried yet in their attempt to manipulate the Shanghai stock market back up again? Off the cuff there’s nothing we can think of, except maybe shutting the market down entirely. As we have previously pointed out, Chinese investors have fallen prey to the […]
When Will We Ever Learn?
Jul 27, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
Life is full of irony. When I was in school, I hated history. It was boring. It was pointless. How was reading about a bunch of dead people ever going to be useful in life? Today, I consume everything I can find on history. Particularly, financial history. Ironic. Of course, it only took me 25 […]
The Stock Market’s Ugly Truth – Only 6 Stocks Matter
Jul 27, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
When we first exposed the shockingly dire lack of breadth in US equity markets, it was shrugged off by the mainstream media as yet another ‘worry’ in the wall to climb. It seems, however, that facts inevitably force their way to the surface and so both Bloomberg (more than 100% of this year’s increase in the S&P 500 […]
BOJ: When All Else Fails, Change The Metric
Jul 27, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
The Bank of Japan is engaged in the most aggressive asset purchases, and yet it has largely failed to lift inflation. National consumer prices for June will be reported at the end of this week. The headline rate is expected to fall to 0.3% year-over-year from 0.5% in May. This would be the smallest increase since […]
Bull Of The Day: Euronav
Jul 27, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
Euronav NV (EURN – Snapshot Report) is a crude tanker pure play, and is the third largest public operator of Suezmax and VLCC vessels. Currently, OPEC is producing high levels of crude, and is expected to continue this pattern over the foreseeable future. Euronav is extremely well positioned in the crude tanker market to take advantage of these […]
June Durable Goods: A Bit Of A Bounce
Jul 27, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
The Advance Report on Durable Goods released today by the Census Bureau was a bit better than expected. Here is the Bureau’s summary on new orders: New orders for manufactured durable goods in June increased $7.7 billion or 3.4 percent to $235.3 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This increase, up following two consecutive […]
5 Undervalued Companies For Defensive Investors With High Dividend Yields – July 2015
Jul 27, 2015
Jeremy Parkinson
Finance
There are a number of great companies in the market today. By using the ModernGraham Valuation Model, I’ve selected the five highest dividend yields among the undervalued companies for defensive investors reviewed by ModernGraham. Each company has been determined to be suitable for Defensive Investor according to the ModernGraham approach. This is a sample of one screen […]