Gold Miners In 2017 Whipsaw
Ever since 2012’s failure of the ‘QE 3 rally’ in the precious metals it has not been fruitful to micro manage the gold sector, because that failure jump started a savage bear market that would need time to work out the excesses both in the sector’s investor base and in its mining businesses, which had […]
E SPX Fast Approaching Final Phase Of Rally
VIX declined to challenge the May 9 low, but did not exceed it. Today’s low qualifies as a retracement low and potentially opens the door for new highs. A rally above mid-Cycle resistance at 15.22 implies that VIX may challenge its Ending Diagonal at 17.50 in the next move. (Investopedia) The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is […]
Market Thoughts: Trading The Italian Yield Curve
TRADING THE ITALIAN YIELD CURVE I’ll start out today with my most substantive thought. It will constitute most of this note. My methodology here won’t be rigorous; my intention is not to meticulously prove that a given idea is valid or that a trade is worth making, but to collect my thoughts and perhaps pass […]
The Longer-Term Trend – Saturday, June 3
The Longer-Term Outlook The market really turned around this week. It felt significant because a number of important indicators were pointing to trouble in the market. For me, the most important indicator was the elevated level of new 52-week lows which abruptly dropped down to the harmless range on Thursday and Friday. Late in the […]
Week In Review: Hong Kong’s Cirina Merges With GRAIL For Early Stage Cancer Diagnostics
Deals and Financings Cirina, a Hong Kong cancer diagnostics company, will merge with GRAIL, a Menlo Park startup, which is also developing non-invasive early-stage molecular cancer diagnostics (see story). GRAIL is a spin-out from Illumina (NSDQ: ILMN) that has raised an impressive $1re capital. The merger combines GRAIL’s deep pockets, which will fund large-scale clinical trials, with […]
BLS Report Shows 138,000 Jobs Created
The ADP May private sector jobs report on Thursday signaled a great BLS jobs report would come on Friday. Sometimes the ADP report doesn’t indicate how the BLS report will be. This was one of those months as the BLS report was bad across the board. It looked like the online job listings report that I showed […]
Trending Higher – Saturday, June 3
Another day, another all-time high. Stocks continue to act great and are trending higher. Stocks closed the week on a very strong note which is great to see. While the daily closes matter more than intraday action, the weekly close is even more important and it was a great close to the week. Speaking of […]
93% Of All Jobs “Created” Since 2008 Were Added Through The Birth/Death Model
According to the prevailing narrative, job growth in the US, where GDP over the past decade has been on par with that in the 1930s, is one of the otherwise brighter economic indicators in a time when much of the economic data such as capital spending, productivity and especially wage growth (so critical for the Fed’s […]
EUR: Pillars For EUR/USD Bull Case Have A ‘Shaky Foundation’ – Barclays
EUR/USD made a move to the upside thanks to the terrible Non-Farm Payrolls. Can it continue higher? Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: Barclays Capital FX Strategy Research argues that the EUR bull case relies too heavily on three pillars that have ‘shaky foundations’. “Expectations for EURUSD to break out of its range to the […]
Global Markets End The Week Higher Tracking US Jobs Data
Global financial markets ended the week on a positive note with a boost from Asian share markets. Asian share markets rose to their best levels in more than two years as positive data on US manufacturing and employment and buoyant European factory growth boosted investor optimism. The Japanese Nikkei 225 ended the week up by 2.5% while Hong Kong’s Hang […]
