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Archives by Year:
What Goes Up The Most Tends To Come Down The Most
It was a wild week for stocks — a seemingly fitting end to what has been a wild quarter overall. U.S. equities jumped Monday when it appeared fears of a trade war with China may have been overblown. This was followed by a sharp reversal Tuesday, with mega cap technology stocks leading the decline, and […]
Chart Review: Sentiment And Longer-Term
The Longer-Term Outlook The Packaging index is super-sensitive to the ups and downs of the stock market. It shows the market pullbacks very nicely, and these dips along with the stochastic lows have been good buying opportunities. Based on this chart, I would expect a rally in the general market. Very few stocks have been […]
Einhorn Steamrolled: Greenlight Plunges 14% YTD Despite Tech Wreck
For much of 2017, hedge funds – most of which again underperformed both their benchmark and the broader market – complained that they were not generating alpha for one reason: there was no volatility. Well, they got their wish in spades last month when after months of record low, single-digit VIX, equity vol exploded resulting in a 3.9% […]
3 Sector ETFs That Gained Double-Digits In Q1
January 2018 marked the best start to a year for Wall Street in more than three decades, with a series of record highs. This is primarily thanks to an uptick in economies around the world, strong corporate earnings, booming trade, the new tax legislation, jump in oil prices, and a weak dollar (read: Market at New […]
Is Buffett Enough To Buy GE Stock?
General Electric (GE) was the worst performer in the Dow, with selling all fall, and being the worst again this quarter. It was a dud in the S&P 500 as well, even though the stock saw a late-March surge on hopes that Warren Buffett may buy a stake in the company. Yet while GE bulls are few and […]
Uncertainty As A Discipline Of Aliveness, Loops, And…Coffee
Recent Articles/Videos JD.com Update — An update on where we think JD.com can go from here. Red Teaming — A review of one of the most important analysis techniques we utilize at Macro Ops. Articles I’m reading Sri Thiruvadanthai wrote a fantastic post on monetary policy feedback loops and instability. Anybody who has studied Soros knows […]
Deja Vu All Over Again? Subprime MBS Demand “Oversubscribed” And S&P Says Risk Is “Contained”
The stock market is at record highs and people with FICO scores as low as 500 are once again happily obtaining mortgages. Not only that, but these mortgages are once again being securitized and are in demand by yield chasers. All of the elements that are necessary for the 2008 subprime crisis to repeat itself […]
April 2018 Stock Considerations
As many of you know, every month I like to highlight several stocks I am considering adding to my portfolio for my monthly buy(s). Looking forward towards April, I realize that I have way more than a “few” names I am considering adding to my portfolio. The recent market volatility we have been witnessing the […]
Roku’s Business Is Not What You Think
Few consumer trends of the past decade have been as pronounced as the shift away from the broadcast, “live” model of programming to the video-on-demand (VOD), or streaming, model. Since launching its streaming service just 10 years ago, Netflix (NFLXNetflix ( now boasts almost 120 million subscribers worldwide, streaming one billion hours of content every week! Amazon’s […]
The Dow Jones Suffers First Quarterly Loss In Years
Stocks staged a broad rally ahead of the three-day Easter weekend as technology shares rebounded, but the blue-chip Dow index still suffered its first quarterly loss in more than two years. The Dow closed the quarter 2.3% lower and the S&P 500 slid 2.7% in the period, while the Nasdaq came in with a 2.3% gain […]
