Interesting that gold spiked almost shockingly, and has subsided from there, but is still much higher than it has been for the past twenty years. And now silver is spiking higher. These are not indications of a hard default, as some have suggested. Rather, when taken with other data from different sources it suggests that […]

Whenever the topic of recession comes up, the mainstream and especially economists (redundant) become quite defensive about the possibility. Just a few days ago, presidential candidate Donald Trump claimed the US was headed for “a very massive recession” and that it was “a terrible time right now.” The Washington Post, as you would expect, was […]

Over the past couple of weeks the rate of buying has slowed. This slowing has become more pronounced as indices pushed into November/December consolidations, but today was a concerted effort to reverse this. The chief disappointment was the lighter volume which accompanied today’s buying for certain indices. The S&P still shows a relative underperformance against […]

In response to GDPNow Rises to 0.3% Following Dismal Retail Sales and Inventory Reports; Fed vs. Fed Update I received a nice email from reader Tibor. Tibor writes “Hey Mish, Just wanted to thank you for being one of the sanest, if not sanest, economic skeptics out there. Most of the pundits on the bear […]

In what was shaping up to be a low-volume snoozer of a day, things changed dramatically at 10:30am when the DOE confirmed last night’s API data according to which US crude inventories had their biggest weekly decline since January even as distillates and gasoline stocks rose. That headline sent WTI soaring by 5.4%, the most […]