Category Archive: Finance
Holding Pattern
The portfolio finished August much in the same fashion as in the previous four months, stumbling to a monthly loss of about 0.7%. The dip extended the decline since May to a total of 1.1%—a far cry from the punchy +6.4% in the first four months of the year—and paltry compared with the MSCI World’s +3.7% return […]
Guess Which Country’s Stock Market Just Fell For The First Time Since The Election
We talked a lot over the course of the week about emerging markets. Specifically, we noted that emerging market stocks have risen for eight months in a row (longest streak since 2004) and everyone’s favorite EM ETF (EEM) has outperformed SPY for six straight months, the best such stretch since February 2005. Unsurprisingly, Chinese equities have had […]
Forex And Commodity Seasonality For September
Here are the historical tendencies for forex pairs and commodities in the month of September. Statistics include how often the prices rise or fall and by how much on average. Also check out: These Stocks Tend to Perform Well in September, if interested in stocks. Statistics are based on monthly opening and closings prices, and […]
Trading Support And Resistance – Sept. 3
This week we’ll begin with our monthly and weekly forecasts of the currency pairs worth watching. The first part of our forecast is based upon our research of the past 16 years of Forex prices, which show that the following methodologies have all produced profitable results: Trading the two currencies that are trending the most strongly over the […]
6 Week Cycle Bottoming Early Next Week
Current Position of the Market SPX Long-term trend: The uptrend should continue after pausing for a correction. SPX Intermediate trend: SPX could make a new high before continuing its correcting into October/November. Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the […]
Macron Wants A Federal Budget For All Of The Eurozone
French Prime Minister Emmanuel Macron is coming out arguing for the total federalization of Europe proposing that there should be a budget for the Eurozone of hundreds of billions of euros. Macron’s position is that this budget should represent several points of the gross domestic product (GDP) of the Eurozone. It should be possible, Macron said, to […]
DAX Seeking Boost From ECB; S&P 500 Staring Down New Record
Talking Points: S&P 500 trying to trade to new record highs but may stall; data docket lacking ‘high’ impact events DAX is trying to reverse trend with a softening euro; ECB on Thursday could reinforce more upside FTSE 100 remains neither here nor there; no major data points this coming week Trading psychology can’t be understated, check out our […]
Housing Market Review – A Notable Change In Tone (August, 2017)
The last Housing Market Review covered data reported in July, 2017 for June, 2017. The month from there marked a significant change in tone for home builders. The change in tone starts with the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) and its failure to hold support at its 50-day moving average (DMA) for the first time […]
Mnuchin Warns On Debt Ceiling; Let’s Compare Harvey To Katrina
Ok, so we all know what the Hurricane Harvey “silver lining” is, right? If not, you can read all about it here, or you can simply extrapolate from this Sunday soundbite from Mnuchin who spoke to Fox News: MNUCHIN SAYS HARVEY AID SHOULD BE TIED TO RAISING DEBT LIMIT — Walter White (@heisenbergrpt) September 3, 2017 Here […]
Growth Outperforming Value And The Economic Cycle
One style of the market that has outperformed, except in 2016, has been growth type equities. In 2016 value outperformed growth with a value outperformance burst subsequent to the election. Value’s outperformance essentially ended at the beginning of this year. Also, higher quality companies as measured by S&P Dow Jones Indices Dividend Aristocrats, mostly outperformed […]
